0x2c4e6a4c564af7dadd5ab534bb30a1228bc08235
0x2c4e6a4c564af7dadd5ab534bb30a1228bc08235
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$15.92
Total PnL
$-7.55
Realised
$-0.31
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US government shutdown Saturday?
3 shares @ 78.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.37
$0.73
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
3 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.65
$0.06
- YES
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
13 shares @ 60.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$-5.76
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.29
$0.30
- OVER
Total Kills Over/Under 16.5 in Game 2?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.15
$0.08
- UNDER
Baylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 147.5
1 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.08
$0.49
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 4AM ET
1 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$2.03Jan 29, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$2.03Jan 29, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$2.03Jan 29, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$2.00Jan 29, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Kills Over/Under 16.5 in Game 2?$2.00Jan 29, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWas Ilhan Omar sprayed with pure water?$1.98Jan 28, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Ilhan Omar sprayed with pure water?$2.59Jan 28, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWas Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?$1.80Jan 28, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?$2.59Jan 28, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas Ilhan Omar sprayed with urine?$2.59Jan 28, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.88Jan 28, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBaylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 147.5$1.85Jan 28, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaylor Bears vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 147.5$2.59Jan 28, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 4AM ET$1.96Jan 27, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 4AM ET$2.59Jan 27, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$2.59Jan 27, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.60Jan 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.99Jan 27, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.99Jan 26, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Jan 26, 03:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 02:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.