Healthy-Kill
0x2c55621871b5cedb336bc509dd93e61568f6dbb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-10.4K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
1100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$994.95
$93.05
- YES
Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?
1000 shares @ 57.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$980.00
$410.00
- NO
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
1000 shares @ 92.7¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$942.50
$15.50
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
1000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.50
$-52.50
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
101000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-199.98
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
15200 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-552.78
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
11247 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-37.31
- NO
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
8775 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.9K
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
5433 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-94.36
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
5160 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 27?$1.4KJul 28, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 24?$1.5KJul 25, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping on July 24?$10.00Jul 24, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?$570.00Jul 24, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping on July 24?$54.00Jul 23, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIran successfully targets shipping on July 24?$1.00Jul 23, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$369.87Jul 23, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 24?$1.3KJul 23, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by July 27?$1.0KJul 23, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$557.13Jul 23, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$55.00Jul 23, 00:43 UTC
- SPLITIran successfully targets shipping on July 24?$100.00Jul 23, 00:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$77.85Jul 23, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$108.00Jul 23, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$122.10Jul 23, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$2.0KJul 18, 16:38 UTC
- REWARD$2.83Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$238.77Jul 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$568.32Jul 15, 02:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$72.00Jul 15, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $408.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.