0x2c5669ef8aff037b743e272129371ed95a865ff0
0x2c5669ef8aff037b743e272129371ed95a865ff0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$17.67
Total PnL
$17.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
2 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$2.36
$2.36
- NO
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
2 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$1.57
$1.57
- NO
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?
2 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$1.55
$1.55
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
1 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$1.20
- NO
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?
1 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.15
$1.15
- NO
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.14
$1.14
- NO
Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.12
$1.12
- NO
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$1.12
- NO
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in December 2025?
1 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$1.10
$1.10
- NO
Will Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$1.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.01Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.49Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.88Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$0.03Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.06Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.17Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.96Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1.08Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.09Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?$0.63Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.24Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.17Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $0.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 18:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.