Pleased-Bottling
0x2c58edf4ef994764d77b6fff4361613a39b2844b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-98.63
Realised
$-15.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
593 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-14.82
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
183 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.98
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
114 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
64 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.63
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
39 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
25 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?$14.82Nov 5, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLGrokipedia released by October 31?$14.82Oct 27, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$2.06Oct 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGrokipedia released by October 31?$2.04Oct 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?$1.00Oct 20, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? $0.47Oct 20, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$0.56Oct 20, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$7.63Oct 20, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.94Oct 20, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$1.79Oct 20, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$3.82Oct 20, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrokipedia released by October 31?$1.00Oct 20, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Oct 19, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Oct 19, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLForeign intervention in Gaza in 2025?$1.07Oct 19, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$9.98Oct 19, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$9.88Oct 19, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$25.00Oct 19, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$5.41Oct 19, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$5.69Oct 19, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 18:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".