Old-Fashioned-Sustenance
0x2c5b7be446011d1d9c8f8f032d7e653d20201ab3
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-113.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 4?
2350 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$2.4K
$4.70
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 20?
2480 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 17?
2460 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 16?
2450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 12?
2450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 18?
2450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 15?
2450 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?
2420 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?
2420 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 5?
2400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 4?$2.3KJun 4, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 2?$2.4KJun 4, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 2?$2.3KJun 2, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1?$2.4KJun 2, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 1?$2.3KJun 1, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 31?$2.4KJun 1, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 31?$23.31May 31, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 31?$2.3KMay 31, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$2.3KMay 31, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$2.3KMay 30, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$2.3KMay 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 28?$2.3KMay 28, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$2.3KMay 28, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$2.3KMay 27, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?$2.3KMay 27, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?$75.42May 26, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 26?$2.2KMay 26, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 25?$2.3KMay 26, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 25?$104.55May 25, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 25?$2.2KMay 25, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $752.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.