Sniveling-Proofreader
0x2c5e5599e5716f82fc105bf92409688596bf53d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-1.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?
1949 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.31
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?
1283 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-37.97
- YES
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?
631 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-222.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?
600 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
599 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-101.26
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?
596 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-220.75
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
555 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-88.10
- PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN FC
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
509 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$332.97Jul 13, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill France vs. Iraq end in a draw?$0.00Jun 23, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score$1.2KJun 23, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Iraq end in a draw?$1.03Jun 22, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score$782.56Jun 22, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$783.91Jun 22, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5) AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?$4.91Jun 22, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$831.49Jun 22, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$835.40Jun 22, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$604.62Jun 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$604.99Jun 22, 15:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$10.27Jun 21, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$2.30Jun 21, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$7.73Jun 21, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$25.73Jun 21, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?$39.04Jun 21, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?$61.73Jun 21, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$63.72Jun 21, 13:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $188.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 20:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.