Probable-Van
0x2c5e587a193df11e2e80ab6a17e081b4eed07c2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$9.96
Total PnL
$-15.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.98
$0.02
- NO
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.98
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
14000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-7.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
10788 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-5.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
3583 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
1823 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-911.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-199.90
- YES
Will Napoli win on 2025-11-01?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Cavaliers
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.97May 30, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$6.00May 30, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.98May 19, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$5.98May 19, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$5.26May 19, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$5.50May 19, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$2.69Apr 27, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$2.75Apr 27, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$5.00Mar 8, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-11-22?$5.00Mar 8, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2025-11-22?$3.30Nov 20, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Cavaliers$1.40Nov 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.3KOct 27, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Napoli win on 2025-11-01?$2.70Oct 27, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$911.30Oct 27, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.8KOct 27, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$199.90Oct 20, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$7.0KOct 20, 13:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 14:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".