Aching-Sidecar
0x2c5eb1b0d875270c7c1a4960492627d123b3ffb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-116.38
Win rate
1%
175 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
833 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-49.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
772 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on February 14?
540 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-12.52
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
526 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or higher on February 14?
513 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.47
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
331 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
316 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-212.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
303 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-81.71
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$4.40Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$5.00Jun 30, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$3.23Jun 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$3.23Jun 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.63Jun 30, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$2.84Jun 30, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Jun 30, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Jun 30, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$15.00Jun 30, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$15.00Jun 30, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$2.59Jun 30, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$2.59Jun 30, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$2.69Jun 30, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$9.06Jun 30, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$9.06Jun 30, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$15.00Jun 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$2.69Jun 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$2.69Jun 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$2.69Jun 30, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$9.06Jun 30, 07:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 175 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
175 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 175 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.