Cautious-Charm
0x2c615539375918fca6476fd3c73fb11e5794f58b
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
172
Open notional
$62.70
Total PnL
$-694.86
Realised
$84.89
Win rate
60%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 172- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
311 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$51.09
$1.09
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
112 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.82
$-1.18
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.80
$-2.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
1007 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$5.14Jun 14, 09:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.05Jun 11, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.05Jun 11, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$0.00Jun 11, 14:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$1.05Jun 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$5.15Jun 10, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$1.00Jun 10, 05:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$9.24Jun 9, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$5.11Jun 9, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$15.00Jun 9, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$15.75Jun 9, 06:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$5.21Jun 8, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$5.21Jun 8, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$2.27Jun 8, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 23:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.