Wiry-Congress
0x2c6ad2b0066551caa11212132a88715571f64483
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-463.58
Realised
$-147.24
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?
204 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 20?
127 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-34.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 15?
120 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-33.98
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 31?
113 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 22?
101 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?
96 shares @ 97.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-93.49
- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?
86 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.11
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 28?
85 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.06
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 31?
84 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.73
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 12?
82 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 17?$81.75Jul 17, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 17?$79.46Jul 16, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 1?$3.17Jul 1, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 4?$97.51Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 4?$95.85Jun 3, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 1?$2.33May 31, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$4.38May 31, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 31?$2.54May 31, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$89.54May 25, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$12.02May 25, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$75.09May 25, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?$88.67May 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?$86.01May 16, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$2.40May 10, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?$97.39May 8, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?$95.15May 7, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMCBB mindshare all time high by March 31?$21.50May 7, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMArthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31?$82.07May 1, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,300 March 9-15?$0.00Apr 25, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?$0.00Apr 14, 00:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $34.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.