0x2c6d8160ea1d62a2b9592833e3ec5865b1edb477
0x2c6d8160ea1d62a2b9592833e3ec5865b1edb477
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$9.82
Total PnL
$-256.50
Realised
$-99.81
Win rate
9%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$9.82
$5.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on April 24?
63321 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-73.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 24?
846 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 24?
839 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on April 24?
518 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 24?
499 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 24?
225 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 24?
135 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on April 24?
116 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 24?
81 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 24?$45.22Apr 25, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on April 24?$9.95Apr 25, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 24?$7.29Apr 24, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 24?$7.73Apr 24, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 24?$20.00Apr 24, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 24?$46.40Apr 24, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 23?$4.88Apr 24, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 23?$4.92Apr 24, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 16?$5.00Apr 24, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 24?$15.00Apr 24, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 23?$10.69Apr 24, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 23?$5.09Apr 24, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 23?$11.33Apr 24, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 24?$0.00Apr 24, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 24?$0.00Apr 24, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 24?$0.00Apr 24, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 24?$0.00Apr 24, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 23?$0.00Apr 24, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 23?$0.00Apr 24, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 23?$0.00Apr 24, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".