Prize-Ruffle
0x2c7b383a3d95a4bc3420191f55a339db8ddaf109
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?
485 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?
347 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-27.76
- YES
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?
221 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" 5+ times during Egypt summit?
215 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
French election called by October 17?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
167 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
158 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
144 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
127 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$27.76Jan 25, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$27.76Jan 25, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$0.00Nov 8, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Egypt summit?$0.00Nov 8, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$0.00Nov 8, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$0.00Nov 8, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$19.99Oct 14, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$15.00Oct 14, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$15.00Oct 14, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$10.00Oct 14, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by October 31?$9.00Oct 14, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?$3.00Oct 14, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during Egypt summit?$3.00Oct 14, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" 5+ times during Egypt summit?$3.00Oct 14, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Egypt summit?$3.00Oct 14, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$2.00Oct 14, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$2.00Oct 14, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$5.00Oct 14, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$8.00Oct 14, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?$2.00Oct 14, 22:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $7.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 25, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.