0x2c8510adb4f43ac48ff0edd8972c5a5e96487260
0x2c8510adb4f43ac48ff0edd8972c5a5e96487260
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$118.01
Total PnL
$8.77
Realised
$20.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
515 shares @ 9.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$54.34
$4.38
- YES
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$37.21
$0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
18 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$17.70
$8.86
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.32
$-0.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$3.51
$1.51
- NO
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
64 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.93
$-9.98
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
7 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
15 shares @ 66.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$40.33Jun 13, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$14.43Jun 13, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$15.90Jun 13, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$4.47Jun 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$2.09Jun 13, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.07Jun 13, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$20.83Jun 13, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$2.94Jun 13, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$3.96Jun 13, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$4.12Jun 13, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$3.08Jun 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$3.08Jun 13, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$2.07Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET$1.61Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET$0.00Jun 13, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET$1.03Jun 13, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET$1.07Jun 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$5.39Jun 13, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$0.00Jun 13, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$9.92Jun 13, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $9.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 18:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.