Arctic-Rock
0x2c8ebda868aa3414498d469c8b814503ee23bace
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paris FC win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Matthew Knies win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Yōko Kamikawa be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$1.05Jun 8, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in May 2026?$26.14May 12, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 7, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cyle Larin be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Apr 8, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dodi Lukebakio be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Apr 8, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abel Ruiz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Apr 8, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abel Ruiz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Mar 11, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dodi Lukebakio be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?$1.00Mar 11, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Mar 11, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cole Caufield win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$1.00Mar 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Knies win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$1.00Mar 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bo Horvat win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$1.00Mar 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Feb 16, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Feb 16, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jan 21, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.00Dec 21, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 163m and 175m?$1.00Nov 24, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rennes win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$1.00Nov 24, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yōko Kamikawa be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$1.00Oct 9, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.