0x2c97c0ec81d2fe7887aeffade57196f6b9476d28
0x2c97c0ec81d2fe7887aeffade57196f6b9476d28
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
133
Open notional
$10.12
Total PnL
$-377.54
Realised
$-155.43
Win rate
4%
85 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 133- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 18?
4 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$3.92
$3.10
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 2?
31 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$3.10
$-0.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?
2 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$1.83
$1.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 2?
11 shares @ 25.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$1.26
$-1.49
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 2?$2.85Aug 1, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 2?$3.56Jul 31, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 31?$3.78Jul 31, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 1?$3.95Jul 31, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 1?$3.10Jul 31, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 1?$1.43Jul 31, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 1?$1.91Jul 31, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 31?$2.49Jul 30, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 30?$1.99Jul 30, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 29?$0.00Jul 29, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 30?$3.25Jul 29, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 30?$1.22Jul 29, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 30?$1.96Jul 29, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 30?$4.05Jul 28, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 30?$1.46Jul 28, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on July 30?$2.50Jul 28, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on July 30?$3.11Jul 28, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 29?$1.31Jul 28, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 29?$2.29Jul 28, 04:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 85 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
85 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 02:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 85 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.