Revolving-Approval
0x2c9cbd1ad4c4299ad73c71714bea1b8b81396824
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.4K
Realised
$713.72
Win rate
68%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
20029 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-16.2K
- YES
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?
16032 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
14000 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
9589 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-442.99
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
8000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-879.98
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
5345 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-269.89
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
5262 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- YES
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
5000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-750.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- CELTICS
Nets vs. Celtics
4326 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
68% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.