Tough-Meteorology
0x2ca0081d3175289bdaba618006770d2e232b35e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$7.35
Total PnL
$-100.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.97
$-0.00
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 83.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.38
$0.04
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 26, 3PM ET
198 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-99.00
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves
6 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.34Apr 9, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.97Apr 9, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.98Apr 2, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.96Apr 2, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.98Mar 25, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.96Mar 25, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.92Mar 25, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.93Mar 22, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.97Mar 18, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.97Mar 18, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.97Mar 18, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.97Mar 13, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.97Mar 13, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.98Mar 9, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$1.68Feb 11, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 26, 3PM ET$99.00Jan 26, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1PM ET$0.00Nov 12, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1PM ET$8.00Nov 12, 08:17 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1PM ET$8.00Nov 10, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 7, 5AM ET$0.00Nov 10, 10:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $9.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".