Grumpy-Phenomenon
0x2ca209bf58f861373922cab2243ae30f430efb47
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$41.79
Total PnL
$-250.77
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
23 shares @ 95.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.11
$0.53
- NO
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.11
$0.00
- NO
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.02
$0.01
- NO
Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.53
$0.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Heat
547 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-251.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?$3.00Feb 26, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$2.53Feb 26, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$3.11Feb 26, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$3.00Feb 26, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.00Feb 26, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.00Feb 26, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.00Feb 26, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$13.88Feb 26, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?$4.50Feb 26, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$35.37Feb 7, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?$4.86Feb 4, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?$27.53Feb 4, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$40.96Feb 4, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$40.02Nov 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Heat$251.44Nov 17, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?$27.34Sep 30, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $80 in July?$27.34Sep 30, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 in July?$27.20Jul 18, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$27.19Jul 18, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$44.01Jul 9, 00:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $22.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.