Sturdy-Bongo
0x2ca78cd91240f1d036dbfbbe665727a8de2f467c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$11.47
Total PnL
$0.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
SpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?
3 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$2.91
$0.29
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 reach space?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.48
$0.12
- YES
Will "Shōgun" win Best Cast in a Drama Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$2.41
$0.24
- YES
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
2 shares @ 71.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$2.03
$0.57
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
2 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.63
$0.06
- YES
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Shōgun" win Best Cast in a Drama Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?$2.17Feb 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 reach space?$2.36Feb 12, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX rescues stranded astronauts before April?$2.62Feb 12, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?$1.57Feb 12, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?$0.00Feb 12, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Feb 12, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMTrump deportation executive order on Day 1?$1.97Feb 12, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYConservatives win majority in Canadian election?$1.04Jan 8, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?$1.02Jan 8, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMElection certified on January 6?$1.03Jan 8, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill KJP say "president" 15 or more times during next press briefing?$1.22Jan 8, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMNo Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$1.59Jan 8, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden appoint more judges than Trump?$1.88Jan 8, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.46Dec 17, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden appoint more judges than Trump?$1.58Dec 17, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KJP say "president" 15 or more times during next press briefing?$1.15Dec 17, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYElection certified on January 6?$1.00Nov 29, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$1.11Nov 29, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump deportation executive order on Day 1?$1.48Nov 29, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $76,000 on November 15?$1.01Nov 29, 02:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 07:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 08:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".