Tedious-Tear
0x2cae390139a498c18d05a866599460aeb509aaad
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$99.75
Total PnL
$-24.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 23?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 23, 2026$99.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 30?
4800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 28?
3190 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BORUSSIA DORTMUND
Spread: Borussia Dortmund (-1.5)
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- MAVERICKS
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- LAKERS
Warriors vs. Lakers
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Lakers vs. Timberwolves
2 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- RAPTORS
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- RAPTORS
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 23?$100.02May 22, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?$1.23May 22, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?$1.01May 5, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 23?$1.01May 5, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 23?$1.00Apr 22, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 30?$4.80Mar 30, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 28?$3.19Mar 28, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-11.5)$1.00Dec 7, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-10.5)$1.00Dec 7, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-2.5)$1.00Dec 7, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 7, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-11.5)$1.89Dec 7, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-9.5)$1.92Dec 7, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nuggets (-8.5)$1.96Dec 7, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Grizzlies (-3.5)$1.00Nov 30, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-12.5)$1.00Nov 30, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-11.5)$1.00Nov 30, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-8.5)$1.00Nov 11, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Jazz$1.00Nov 11, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-7.5)$1.00Nov 11, 12:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 01:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".