Distorted-Turning
0x2cba072adb00c761a92cc9bdf14f032a471301ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$4.12
Total PnL
$-36.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Jan 31, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 19, 02:25 UTC
- REDEEMFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.02Jan 19, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.01Jan 16, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 16, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 4, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$1.00Jan 4, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$1.01Jan 4, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.03Jan 4, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 4, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "World Cup" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 26, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.06Dec 26, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.01Dec 10, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.08Dec 10, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "World Cup" during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 10, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMKinetiq FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 3, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Dec 3, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 03:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 02:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".