Wallet digest

active

Activity score

89/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$5.9K

Total PnL

$-64.91

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 28?
5716 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026
$5.7K
$-48.58
YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on July 28?
159 shares @ 99.9¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026
$143.42
$-15.69
YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on July 28?
71 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026
$70.32
$-0.64

Recent activity

TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 28?$714.98Jul 28, 18:21 UTC
TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 28?$2.5KJul 28, 18:20 UTC
TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 28?$2.5KJul 28, 18:19 UTC
REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 28?$5.7KJul 28, 18:17 UTC
TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on July 28?$70.96Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on July 28?$159.12Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 28?$165.00Jul 28, 16:56 UTC
REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on July 28?$65.00Jul 28, 16:54 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 28?$5.7KJul 27, 21:06 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on July 28?$64.94Jul 27, 20:38 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 28?$164.85Jul 27, 20:38 UTC
REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 27?$5.9KJul 27, 20:16 UTC
TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on July 27?$5.9KJul 27, 16:17 UTC
REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 27?$5.9KJul 27, 16:13 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 27?$5.9KJul 27, 04:31 UTC
REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?$9.30Jul 27, 04:17 UTC
REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,100 July 20-26?$5.9KJul 27, 04:16 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?$9.27Jul 26, 17:05 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 July 20-26?$5.9KJul 26, 17:02 UTC
REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 26?$605.00Jul 26, 16:15 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$5.2K

Trades

Buy share

100%

Window

Jul 10, 20:50 UTC → Jul 10, 20:41 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $5.2K

BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 10?$5.2K@100¢Jul 10, 20:41 UTC

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

0/100

read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

No resolved edge sample

Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal

block

Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.

Resolved-only track record

block

Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$5.2K

1 trades

Buy share

100%

Sample

low

1 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 10?

$5.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 10?100% of recorded volume$5.2K

Profile dimensions

Activity67 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk89 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 30
Avg trade size: $1.3K
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jul 25, 17:10 UTC
Last active: Jul 28, 18:21 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:19:48 UTC·src:Polymarket Data