Fearless-Oyster
0x2cd30c28740771a5a4506e020007c3af2591482d
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
2315 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
2200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 18?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 17?
1300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 19?
1300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 1?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $82,000 on December 15?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$125.13Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 3?$125.01Jun 2, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$125.13Jun 1, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$125.01May 30, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$125.38May 30, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$125.02May 27, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$125.13May 25, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$125.01May 23, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?$124.12May 16, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?$124.01May 16, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$124.92May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$124.80May 13, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?$124.12May 11, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?$124.01May 11, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?$120.12May 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?$120.01May 8, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 6?$1.17May 8, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?$123.12May 8, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 7?$123.01May 6, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 6?$1.17May 6, 01:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $73.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 01:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".