0x2cdb69dee1c9479d8c008048045853c13e7017de
0x2cdb69dee1c9479d8c008048045853c13e7017de
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.18
Total PnL
$-87.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- SABRES
Sabres vs. Panthers
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.18
$1.09
- NO
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
2425 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1809 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
1429 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1012 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
476 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.48
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
461 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.46
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
401 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?
327 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
41 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$6.05Mar 20, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$5.15Mar 18, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$16.73Mar 18, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$3.93Mar 9, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$1.85Mar 9, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$5.00Mar 9, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$1.97Mar 9, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$5.00Mar 9, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.41Mar 3, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$2.92Mar 3, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$4.58Mar 3, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$4.42Mar 3, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$5.00Mar 3, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00Mar 3, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00Mar 2, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$4.98Mar 2, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$4.93Mar 2, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$4.84Mar 2, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$4.94Mar 2, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$5.00Mar 2, 17:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.