Obedient-Dimension
0x2ce36bb42acf2e728934d3af049176f1ae6f966b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$-6.2K
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
32406 shares @ 12.4¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.0K
$-28.81
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$405.00
$-44.62
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3208 shares @ 8.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$272.68
$-14.09
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11607 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$145.09
$-29.90
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1500 shares @ 5.2¢·now 9.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$136.50
$58.50
- YES
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
1679 shares @ 6.1¢·now 7.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.28
$27.40
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
570 shares @ 17.5¢·now 20.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.84
$15.84
- YES
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
3309 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.70
$-73.88
- YES
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$36.11
$-13.89
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1364 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.64
$4.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.43Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.44Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$70.00Jul 20, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$50.00Jul 19, 23:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$12.22Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.48Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $64.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 09:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.