Meager-Funding
0x2cee054508cfab06dce5fdd7afe2765fc325c5bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$721.91
Total PnL
$-534.87
Realised
$222.69
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14?
988 shares @ 34.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$538.50
$202.68
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
3290 shares @ 4.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$116.48
$-27.39
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2526 shares @ 5.8¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$66.93
$-80.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?
1539 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-173.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5AM ET
715 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
671 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?
600 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?
585 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
543 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.67Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$178.60Jul 13, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$151.65Jul 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$10.89Jul 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$2.46Jul 13, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$11.24Jul 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$3.96Jul 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$8.91Jul 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 13?$6.29Jul 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 13?$0.01Jul 13, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 13?$0.07Jul 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 13?$0.07Jul 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 13?$0.07Jul 13, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$18.00Jul 13, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.13Jul 13, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.06Jul 13, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.06Jul 13, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.05Jul 13, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.05Jul 13, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$0.05Jul 13, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $28.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.