Excitable-Earmuffs
0x2cef2b062868cd1a25c31fcac3e3e260aebc53f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
5000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 14?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 14?
1203 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14?
804 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14?
592 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
578 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-79.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
565 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-148.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
450 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?
367 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-27.95
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
340 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?$0.00Mar 19, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16?$0.00Mar 19, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?$0.00Mar 19, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?$339.68Mar 19, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$85.00Mar 19, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?$100.00Mar 16, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$110.00Mar 16, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$10.00Mar 16, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16?$10.00Mar 16, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 16?$10.00Mar 16, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$10.00Mar 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$10.00Mar 15, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?$110.00Mar 14, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16?$20.00Mar 14, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14?$10.00Mar 14, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?$10.00Mar 14, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 14?$10.00Mar 14, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.00Mar 13, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$0.00Mar 13, 22:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$0.00Mar 13, 22:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $41.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 21:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.