Vague-Moccasins
0x2cf22427d537b32b3447af9983dd8b4442e61169
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-654.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
2367 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on December 19?
2292 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden or "Obama" during the announcement on December 19?
2244 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-64.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
815 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-66.77
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
582 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-126.50
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?
373 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-197.40
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
235 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-66.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
201 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-52.77
- NO
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on December 19?
87 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?$53.34Jan 30, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?$14.34Jan 30, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?$22.00Jan 30, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement?$11.00Jan 30, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement?$11.00Jan 30, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?$59.37Jan 30, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$4.44Jan 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$11.00Jan 29, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026?$44.00Jan 29, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?$54.74Jan 29, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$3.33Jan 28, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$4.00Jan 28, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?$7.77Jan 28, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$11.00Jan 28, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?$12.00Jan 28, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$11.00Jan 28, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?$44.00Jan 28, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?$33.00Jan 28, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?$44.00Jan 27, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?$74.50Jan 27, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $21.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 17:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".