Tedious-Sled
0x2cf96d82386e7d4592a655ee408982770a47fa8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$33.88
Total PnL
$0.15
Realised
$-1.04
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$15.87
$5.87
- NO
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
8 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.95
$0.31
- NO
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$7.05
$0.01
- NO
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$3.01
$0.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 December 8-14?
1600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $170 on December 13?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Yoon arrested before July?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$336.00Mar 2, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$343.99Mar 2, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?$339.32Mar 2, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$10.00Mar 1, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?$346.70Mar 1, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?$352.44Mar 1, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?$355.80Mar 1, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMChuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?$1.04Mar 1, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMThune fires Senate Parliamentarian MacDonough before July?$1.04Mar 1, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMTrump cuts taxes in 2025?$1.09Mar 1, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMYoon arrested before September?$2.41Mar 1, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $104,000 December 8-14?$1.60Dec 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $170 on December 13?$1.40Dec 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYChuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?$1.00Jun 28, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYThune fires Senate Parliamentarian MacDonough before July?$1.00Jun 28, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested before July?$1.00Jun 28, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested before September?$2.00Jun 28, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. withdraws from Syria before July?$2.23Jun 28, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump Family buys stake in Binance before July?$1.10Jun 28, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill DOGE audit the IRS before May?$0.00Jun 28, 02:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $58.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 04:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 01:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".