Ripe-Expectancy
0x2cfa1c848b7b35afe5cdc40e0bcab832fb681788
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$59.60
Total PnL
$-144.56
Realised
$0.19
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by June 30, 2026?
413 shares @ 9.7¢·now 4.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.16
$-21.84
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026?
144 shares @ 13.9¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.21
$-12.79
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?
66 shares @ 7.6¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.94
$0.94
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 17, 2026?
62 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.67
$-0.33
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 15, 2026?
53 shares @ 9.4¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
53 shares @ 9.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.50
$-0.49
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?
51 shares @ 9.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.83
$-1.17
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 22, 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Trump praise Dana White by June 30?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.87
$-3.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$3.21Jun 13, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$5.18Jun 13, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$2.92Jun 13, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.23Jun 13, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.31Jun 13, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.22Jun 13, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$9.74Jun 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$10.27Jun 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$11.68Jun 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$10.40Jun 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.21Jun 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.16Jun 13, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.82Jun 13, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.20Jun 13, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.27Jun 13, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?$20.30Jun 13, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$4.13Jun 13, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.21Jun 12, 20:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 23:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.