0x2cfaa2c747a8139e83f9faec8c355d9c2dc015c9
0x2cfaa2c747a8139e83f9faec8c355d9c2dc015c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$7.88
Total PnL
$-16.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Trump say "Kennedy" this week? (March 15)
6 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$6.25
$2.00
- NO
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.63
$0.07
- NO
Will Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March?
100 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- NO
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?
90 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.70
- YES
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
48 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.45
- YES
Will BIJ1 win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
32 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Tank Dell be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?
13 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will Antonino Stivanello win the 2026 Selvazzano Dentro by-election?
10 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Vmogsu be the #1 Chad on March 20?
10 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.28
- YES
Will Starmer say "Andrew" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March?$0.03Mar 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March?$0.07Mar 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March?$0.13Mar 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March?$0.17Mar 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March?$0.23Mar 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March?$0.28Mar 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March?$0.33Mar 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March?$0.38Mar 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?$0.40Mar 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?$0.50Mar 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?$0.60Mar 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?$1.40Mar 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?$0.80Mar 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Nashville Predators win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?$0.04Mar 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?$0.05Mar 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Stars win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?$0.02Mar 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?$0.04Mar 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Calgary Flames win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?$0.05Mar 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025–2026 NHL Presidents' Trophy?$0.05Mar 13, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vmogsu be the #1 Chad on March 20?$0.28Mar 13, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $0.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".