Austere-Friendship
0x2d072658d3345f28c7d23bc92d07c58fb9e8284e
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.15
Total PnL
$-2.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?
2 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.80
$0.10
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.35
$0.05
- YES
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?
98 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2023$0.00
$-0.98
- YES
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 1?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Chennai Super Kings win IPL 2023?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$1.00Dec 24, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$0.00Dec 24, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.04Dec 24, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Oct 15, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.22Oct 15, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$1.25Oct 15, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by August 31?$1.52Oct 15, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?$1.70Aug 4, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by August 31?$1.50Aug 4, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$1.30Aug 4, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.20Aug 4, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$1.20Aug 4, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters?$0.94Aug 4, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill FTX relaunch by June 30?$1.01Aug 4, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30?$1.03Aug 4, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMLayerZero airdrop by June 15?$1.04Aug 4, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31?$1.45Aug 4, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30?$2.02Aug 4, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30?$1.02May 29, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30?$2.00May 29, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 06:29 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 24, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".