Medium-Swordfight
0x2d08f002bee1a042ea6cf85922f81f0eb8bf10b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.54
Total PnL
$-57.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.54
$-8.46
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1930 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
123 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 11?
107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 15)
48 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
31 shares @ 32.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
15 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.01May 22, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.86May 22, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$9.00Mar 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.04Mar 4, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 2, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 2, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.00Mar 2, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$20.00Mar 2, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.00Feb 28, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$52.63Feb 28, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$10.00Feb 14, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 15)$4.00Feb 14, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?$13.70Feb 14, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 11?$1.00Feb 11, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$10.00Feb 11, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 10, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.55Feb 10, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.00Feb 10, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.49Feb 10, 18:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $8.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 17:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 15:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".