Candid-Renaissance
0x2d0d9b4fbc7a3e6f7632f2e3d3f7a03dbbac7d76
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.63
Total PnL
$-1.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.39
$-0.01
- YES
Will Min Hyung-bae win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- NO
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.12
$-0.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
2 shares @ 93.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Min Hyung-bae win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?$1.12Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.12Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.40Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 13°C or below on April 29?$1.16Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?$2.17Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.59Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 13°C or below on April 29?$1.16Apr 28, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?$2.16Apr 28, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.39Apr 28, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.69Apr 28, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.58Apr 28, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$10.53Apr 28, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$1.57Feb 22, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.36Feb 22, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$10.52Feb 22, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.73Feb 22, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.85Feb 22, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in January?$5.72Feb 22, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.70Jan 8, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.80Jan 8, 12:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $303.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.