Probable-Exploration
0x2d0eb683f509418c4778dad0b31b9c921aaa9acf
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$44.70
Total PnL
$-614.68
Realised
$9.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
424 shares @ 11.8¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$44.70
$-5.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
293 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-12.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
200 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-106.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
133 shares @ 54.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-72.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
113 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-63.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
104 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-45.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
95 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-53.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
91 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
62 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
52 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.40Jun 11, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35.93Jun 11, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.00Apr 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$30.11Apr 23, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$49.46Apr 23, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$30.00Apr 23, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$49.38Apr 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$25.00Apr 23, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$20.00Apr 23, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.00Apr 23, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$10.00Apr 23, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.00Apr 23, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.00Apr 23, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$11.33Apr 23, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$10.00Apr 23, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$96.03Apr 23, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$79.81Apr 23, 21:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $17.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.