Aching-Treat
0x2d14c1fc6564c31a524189381e39f6d527565332
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
80882 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2024$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31?
22404 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2023$0.00
$-110.99
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
10000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?
5515 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-466.58
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?
3300 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-49.50
- YES
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2023$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?
1000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 17?
533 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-69.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 17?$69.15Jan 16, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 16?$78.46Jan 16, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 16?$1.20Jan 16, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 16?$0.16Jan 16, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 16?$0.17Jan 16, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$60.00Jan 14, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 6?$47.50Jan 4, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 6?$2.00Jan 4, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$469.17Nov 24, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$0.06Nov 24, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$22.35Nov 24, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$36.31Nov 24, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$54.40Nov 24, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$20.00Nov 24, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$0.20Nov 24, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$20.00Nov 24, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$34.92Nov 24, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$0.20Nov 24, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$123.24Nov 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?$8.37Nov 24, 15:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $59.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 18:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.