Growling-Gap
0x2d1b029a976dd5fc740083ec34e630074559b8ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.99
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Gentleman" or "Lady" 6+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
243 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
- NO
Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on March 17?
50 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- NO
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during Taoiseach events?
50 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.46Mar 20, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Saudi Arabia again in March?$3.80Mar 19, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000 voters?$0.60Mar 19, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?$0.05Mar 19, 00:06 UTC
- REWARD$1.38Mar 19, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?$0.05Mar 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?$0.05Mar 18, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 22?$0.65Mar 18, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Saudi Arabia again in March?$4.57Mar 18, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000 voters?$0.74Mar 18, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 22?$0.70Mar 18, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?$0.10Mar 18, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$0.11Mar 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$0.24Mar 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during Taoiseach events?$0.25Mar 17, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on March 17?$0.25Mar 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$0.04Mar 17, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$0.01Mar 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$0.00Mar 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?$0.04Nov 28, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 30, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.