Junior-Gun
0x2d247440d4600773b5449cede773cd055c9a445c
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$593.16
Total PnL
$69.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 15.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$200.00
$168.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$58.52
$8.52
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
54 shares @ 94.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.45
$2.45
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
53 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.55
$0.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.29
$0.29
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 84.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.77
$4.77
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
34 shares @ 88.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$32.02
$2.02
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.49
$-0.51
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
28 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.54
$1.54
- YES
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$24.10
$4.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.