Unsightly-Confusion
0x2d27841cca216e114da3cd969911282608242a0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$18.57
Total PnL
$-25.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.14
$2.14
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.95
$0.95
- NO
Iran Nuke in 2025?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.23
$0.23
- NO
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?
36 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?
24 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
8 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$2.00Oct 8, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$0.00Oct 8, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$2.70Oct 8, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by September 15?$0.00Sep 11, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$3.00Sep 6, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$2.00Sep 6, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?$2.00Sep 6, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.00Sep 6, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?$2.00Sep 6, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?$5.00Sep 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?$5.00Sep 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$5.00Sep 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$3.00Sep 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by September 15?$12.00Sep 6, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Sep 6, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke in 2025?$3.00Sep 6, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.00Sep 6, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?$3.00Sep 6, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$4.00Sep 6, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.00Sep 6, 21:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $3.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 6, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 8, 04:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.