Loyal-Incarnation
0x2d2b1463253002c7dd52ef07424d0b25ce5af218
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$39.96
Total PnL
$0.66
Realised
$2.51
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?
12 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$11.73
$0.73
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.32
$0.32
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
4 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.04
$0.21
- NO
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$3.22
$0.35
- NO
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.96
$0.55
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$1.72
$0.02
- NO
Will France win Eurovision 2025?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$1.61
$0.18
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$1.53
$0.09
- YES
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$1.46
$0.06
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$1.34
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Apr 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Apr 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$9.93Apr 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?$9.09Apr 20, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win Eurovision 2025?$13.74Apr 20, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$3.83Apr 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$9.94Apr 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?$12.58Apr 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$19.14Apr 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$20.31Apr 18, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City wins the Premier League?$0.00Apr 18, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$20.99Apr 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$16.48Apr 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?$18.00Mar 27, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$17.00Mar 27, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$22.00Mar 27, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$21.00Mar 27, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$11.40Mar 27, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2025?$11.57Mar 27, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?$22.32Mar 27, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $148.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 17:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.