Open-Crayon
0x2d2fff2a25ad812f1174a69441f732fd4cee0d6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-608.66
Realised
$-201.60
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?
135 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on January 28?
129 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 17?
126 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 26?
120 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 27?
116 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-28.53
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 31?
115 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 16?
115 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- NO
Will Solana dip to $130 January 12-18?
115 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 10?
104 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 24?$218.75Jul 24, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 24?$217.00Jul 24, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 24?$198.28Jun 24, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 24?$196.89Jun 23, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 31?$2.09May 31, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 24?$182.50May 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 24?$176.66May 23, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 23?$3.56May 23, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 17?$1.12May 17, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?$238.19May 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 11?$236.28May 10, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 10?$1.67May 9, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 27?$1.12Apr 27, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.45 on April 25?$1.43Apr 26, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 19?$192.03Apr 26, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 19?$0.60Apr 19, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 19?$190.09Apr 18, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 13?$200.72Apr 18, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 13?$199.31Apr 12, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 January 19-25?$0.00Apr 12, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $78.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.