Threadbare-Shop
0x2d32e3ac76c4c84a6f6901dc8234adc24e8be1b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-38.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMeissner effect confirmed near room temperature?$9.80Jun 28, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?$0.00May 9, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April?$0.00May 9, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April?$0.00May 3, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?$10.00Mar 19, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Epstein documents name Bill Gates?$0.00Mar 19, 01:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel invade Lebanon before March?$0.00Mar 10, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMNikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? $0.00Feb 27, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April?$1.00Feb 24, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan invade Armenia before April?$20.00Feb 20, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February?$0.00Feb 8, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMHouthis strike U.S. military by end of January?$0.00Feb 7, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? $20.00Feb 7, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? $20.00Feb 7, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February?$10.00Feb 7, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMHamas lose power in Gaza before February?$0.00Feb 5, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLHamas lose power in Gaza before February?$88.80Feb 1, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMTrump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%$0.00Jan 28, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeissner effect confirmed near room temperature?$29.09Jan 23, 01:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first?$29.08Jan 22, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $53.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 03:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.