Outlying-Silicon
0x2d3d06998abfbdad9c50ffd4939a2447a0e90d2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.57
Total PnL
$-3.52
Realised
$-0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$2.31
$0.00
- NO
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.26
$-0.00
- YES
Will Sheryl Sandberg be the next CEO of X?
3200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$309.69Nov 25, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$312.00Nov 19, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$314.42Nov 19, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sheryl Sandberg be the next CEO of X?$3.20Nov 19, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$316.00Nov 19, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be less than 62%?$1.00Nov 19, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rodgers sign with the New York Giants?$1.03Nov 19, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be less than 62%?$1.00May 25, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Giants draft Abdul Carter?$0.00May 25, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?$1.01May 25, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in March?$2.11May 25, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?$1.00Apr 7, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye launch a token on Binance Smart Chain?$1.00Apr 7, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.00 in March?$1.07Apr 7, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benfica win on 2025-03-11?$1.14Apr 7, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose a blanket tariff of less than 10% on the EU by June 30?$2.09Apr 7, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia recapture Sudzha by February 28?$0.00Mar 11, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benfica win on 2025-03-11?$1.00Mar 11, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Giants draft Abdul Carter?$1.00Mar 11, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye launch a token on Binance Smart Chain?$1.00Mar 11, 05:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $48.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 25, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".