Wallet digest

active

Activity score

66/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$42.53

Total PnL

$-110.11

Realised

$-21.81

Win rate

50%

8 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
24 shares @ 55.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026
$24.42
$10.83
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
14 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$13.99
$0.28
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
4 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$4.12
$1.57
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
1372 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-13.72
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
323 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026
$0.00
$-17.85
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
165 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-5.61
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
78 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-19.43
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
43 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-11.53
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
38 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-26.61
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
29 shares @ 21.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026
$0.00
$-6.24

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Jan 17, 21:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.00Jan 17, 21:01 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$26.31Jan 17, 20:57 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$23.22Jan 17, 20:56 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jan 17, 20:55 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$50.85Jan 17, 19:11 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.38Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.05Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.25Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.02Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.19Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.25Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.25Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.10Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.98Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.25Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.40Jan 17, 16:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.07Jan 17, 16:40 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence27 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry30 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk60 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 44
Avg trade size: $3.99
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 17, 15:38 UTC
Last active: Jan 17, 21:01 UTC
Win rate sample: 8 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:41:58 UTC·src:Polymarket Data