Phony-Factor
0x2d40c5f1db0224739780b274e8f9930c6d7d13db
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 5?
280 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 5?
278 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on January 2?
277 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.05
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.30 on January 8?
277 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.29
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 4?
271 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.80 December 29-January 4?
269 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 8?
268 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 1?
258 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 17?
242 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 16?
225 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23?$198.03May 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23?$195.65May 22, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 16?$3.27May 15, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 14?$194.05May 14, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 14?$0.30May 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 14?$192.20May 13, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 11?$1.60May 11, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 8?$2.95May 7, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 18?$74.46May 7, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 21?$198.97Apr 30, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 21?$196.18Apr 21, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $90 Week of April 13 2026?$221.11Apr 19, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 18?$0.10Apr 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 18?$71.46Apr 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $90 Week of April 13 2026?$217.13Apr 16, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 14?$2.63Apr 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$2.25Apr 12, 15:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 28?$87.27Apr 12, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 6?$1.76Apr 6, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?$1.90Apr 6, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $38.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.