Automatic-Ability
0x2d4be995311b639e4485e4d7cbf18c6f871bdd2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.81
Total PnL
$-26.88
Realised
$-3.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
16 shares @ 67.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$6.81
$-4.19
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?
86 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$11.00Jul 23, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$11.48Jul 23, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$33.00Jul 15, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?$33.34Jul 15, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?$42.00Jul 14, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$41.20Jul 14, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$35.00Jul 8, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$35.36Jul 8, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$52.00Jul 7, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$52.40Jul 7, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$51.00Jul 6, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$50.37Jul 6, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$174.00Jun 28, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$171.48Jun 28, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$170.00Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$116.43Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$56.25Jun 28, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$359.00Jun 27, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?$1.00Jun 27, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?$1.00Jun 27, 04:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $116.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.