Obedient-Cutover
0x2d4d8bb2858d3cd8a8b74b30ae02bf10e2054c6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-210.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 12?
579 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
341 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 16?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
42 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Running Back?
36 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 25?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$3.00Mar 24, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Mar 24, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$3.00Mar 24, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.00Mar 24, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$11.32Mar 24, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$3.00Mar 24, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.00Mar 24, 21:14 UTC
- REWARD$4.38Mar 24, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Mar 24, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$5.00Mar 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$12.00Jan 17, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 16, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$3.67Dec 28, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$0.00Dec 11, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14?$10.00Dec 10, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$20.00Dec 10, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$30.77Dec 10, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$15.36Dec 10, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 25?$10.00Nov 24, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 25?$10.00Nov 24, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $11.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 21:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".