0x2d4ed421e3e8f613673a962661004a25629b6f84
0x2d4ed421e3e8f613673a962661004a25629b6f84
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$195.82
Total PnL
$74.57
Realised
$41.25
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
73 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$73.17
$58.54
- YES
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?
37 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$36.64
$22.72
- NO
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?
27 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$27.03
$11.89
- NO
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-21?
25 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$24.79
$9.92
- NO
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$18.69
$8.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
16 shares @ 63.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$15.50
$5.60
- YES
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
423 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.21
- YES
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
160 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
54 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$0.00Mar 24, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMVanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers$0.00Mar 22, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs$98.10Mar 22, 05:18 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Magic$25.64Mar 22, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMTexas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars$0.00Mar 22, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Wild$0.01Mar 22, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?$0.00Mar 21, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Heat$0.00Mar 21, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.00Mar 21, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLStars vs. Wild$10.55Mar 21, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $10.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.