Closed-Clarification
0x2d54883e2c73da77adf5017cf88cf1c6f05be9be
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$15.87
Total PnL
$-58.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.87
$5.87
- NO
Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
487 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.19
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
113 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
36 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$0.00Jan 14, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$0.00Jan 14, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?$6.41Jan 14, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$0.00Jan 14, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$0.00Jul 4, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMIranian coup attempt before July?$0.00Jul 4, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?$1.26Jul 1, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$8.00Jun 27, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$1.00Jun 27, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Jun 27, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?$11.26Jun 23, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?$12.93Jun 23, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?$10.00Jun 23, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIranian coup attempt before July?$5.00Jun 23, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$5.00Jun 23, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$32.93Jun 23, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$29.99Jun 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$5.00Jun 22, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$31.88Jun 22, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$3.10Jun 22, 17:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $12.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".