Poised-Incarnation
0x2d582a4cbbe2fbd933606bf1fd0a7c21a42431ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$46.71
Total PnL
$0.76
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.92
$0.12
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.38
$0.08
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.37
$0.11
- NO
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$5.29
$0.13
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.27
$0.07
- NO
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?
2 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.18
$0.10
- NO
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$6.00Dec 29, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$5.00Dec 18, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$5.80Dec 18, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gene Hackman be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$6.12Dec 18, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?$5.00Nov 16, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$5.16Nov 16, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?$5.24Nov 16, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the top AI model on October 31?$5.66Nov 16, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$5.26Oct 23, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?$5.20Oct 23, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gene Hackman be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$6.10Oct 23, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series?$3.61Oct 23, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the top AI model on October 31?$5.60Sep 18, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$6.13Sep 18, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.86Sep 18, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$6.30Aug 17, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.20Aug 17, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$5.30Jul 24, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.09Jul 24, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?$1.19Jul 24, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $341.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".